Dear
friends,
In the
past
year,
political
affairs
in
Thailand
have
affected
the
economy
to an
extreme
degree,
leaving
the
confidence
of
investors
and the
people
in
decline.
But,
thanks
to a new
Prime
Minister
who is
accepted
as a man
of
integrity
and good
ethics,
together
with his
very
capable
cabinet
line-up,
the
economy
has now
picked
up.
This
interim
government
has a
chance
to
promote
changes
that an
elected
government
would
have no
motivation
to
initiate,
since it
is free
from the
need for
popular
approval
and can
therefore
drive
policies
forward
for the
longterm
benefit
of all,
even if
these
policies
do not
make
them
popular.
However,
the new
cabinet
has but
one year
in which
to get
the job
done,
thus
tasks
must be
correctly
prioritized,
with the
mission
tailored
for
short-term
accomplishment
due to
the time
limit.
Priorities
include
restoring
economic
confidence,
managing
the
fiscal
budget
for
2007,
solving
problems
caused
by
policies
of the
previous
government,
and
deciding
on which
policies
to
continue
from the
previous
regime.
There
are many
challenges
to face,
for
example:
State-enterprise
transformation
The
previous
government
transformed
Thailand’s
state-enterprises
for its
own
overlapping
benefits,
contrary
to the
intentions
of the
law.
Consequently,
EGAT’s
transformation
was
deemed
illegal
and
finally
canceled,
while
PTT is
now the
subject
of legal
proceedings.
Although
PTT was
transformed,
some
aspects
of PPT
business
are
still
monopolized,
with no
independent
public
agency
to
ensure
fair
competition
for the
protection
of
consumer
benefits.
Hence,
consumers
may have
to bear
the
burden,
with PPT
profits
belonging
to only
some
shareholders.
Though
PTT
transformation
depends
on the
verdict
of the
court,
the new
cabinet
must
vilify
PTT’s
transformation,
now
having
its side
effects
to
manage.
Money
must be
provided
for the
re-purchase
of
private
sector
shares
and to
mend the
effects
of stock
market
investment
. Next,
an
approach
must be
decided
for
state-enterprise
management
entailing
sufficient
investment,
operational
efficiency
and
fairly
priced
service
maintenance.
FTA
negotiation
The
previous
government
carelessly
initiated
FTAs,
then
failed
to
listen
sufficiently
to the
people,
disclose
agreements,
or raise
them for
parliamentary
consideration.
Arguably,
some
conflict
with the
Constitution
may have
existed.
The
result
of
hurried
negotiations
negatively
affects
small
farmers
and
small
manufacturers
who have
no
government
support
measures
and
compensation
mechanisms
arranged.
The new
cabinet
will be
challenged
by the
continuation
of FTAs,
especially
the FTAs
of Japan
and
America,
which
are not
yet
concluded.
To
cancel
or
postpone
negotiations
indicates
policy
uncertainty
that may
affect
the
confidence
of other
countries
toward
Thailand.
But if
these
FTAs are
continued,
the
government
will be
under
strong
pressure
from
people
who
oppose
the
move.
What is
important
is to
establish
the
rules
and
processes
for
negotiation.
Competition
in
commerce
The
previous
government
neglected
the
development
of rules
for
commercial
competition.
The
result
was
unfairness
in
business
competition
,
especially
retailing,
where
unjust
strategizing
let huge
retail
businesses
be
established
in urban
areas.
Small
retailers
across
the
board
have
thus
been
badly
affected,
and
demand
government
attention
to solve
their
problems.
The
government’s
challenge
is to
resolve
the
problems
of huge
retail
businesses
developing
in urban
areas If
the
government
cancels
their
business
rights,
it will
affect
investment
and
investor
confidence.
If the
government
limits
new
investment,
it will
be
unfair
for old
investors
in
relation
to new
businesses
and will
also
allow
old
businesses
to
establish
monopolies.
If the
government
maintains
its same
policies
as in
the past,
how will
it
manage
the
problems
of small
retailers?
Solving
the
problem
of
nominees
If the
court
judges
that
Kularbkaew
Co. Ltd.
really
is a
nominee
of
Temasek,
will the
government
also
take
action
with
other
companies?
It is
believed
that
many
foreign
investors
use
nominees
as
shareholders
in
Thailand,
so if
the
government
does not
examine
other
companies,
criticism
may be
made as
to
government
prejudice.
But if
other
companies
are
examined,
it may
cause
investment
to move
out of
Thailand.
The
challenge
is how
the
interim
government
will
deal
with
this
matter
in order
to keep
the law,
while at
the some
time,
not
damage
the
economy.
Other
issues
also
wait to
challenge
the new
cabinet,
for
example,
the
problem
of
corrupt
business
sector
management,
the
problem
of
consumer
protection
mechanisms,
the
problem
of
labour
and
social
protection,
and the
problem
of
economic
activities
that
affect
the
environment
and the
community.
The
policies
of the
new
Prime
Minister
do not
emphasize
economic
growth
as
before.
But as
this
government
falls
hard on
the
heels of
the
previous
administration
that
fully
emphasized
economic
growth,
it must
face
whatever
problems
occur
from
policy
changes
to the
old
economic
structure,
and bear
risks
that
could
badly
affect
the
economy.
However,
it is
hopefully
not
beyond
the
capabilities
of this
new
cabinet.
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